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ACI-001 Benchmark

Status: Frozen at v1.0-ACI-Alpha | Latest Score: 90/100 (ACI-008) | Phase B: Mean 90.45, SD 2.19, n=1,000

The ACI-001 Benchmark is the primary empirical evaluation protocol for Artificial Civilization Intelligence systems. It operationalises the ACI specification as a 10-dimensional scoring matrix (max 100 points), covering capability domains from causal persistence to adversarial robustness and recursive self-improvement.

All results in this document were produced by the ORION reference implementation under the evaluation framework defined in ACI Empirical Methodology.


Overview

Scope

The ACI-001 Benchmark evaluates a system's capacity to function as a civilizational intelligence — not merely to score well on NLP or reasoning benchmarks. Each dimension maps to a core ACI requirement identified in the architecture specification.

The benchmark was designed with the following properties:

  • 10 independent scoring dimensions, each worth 10 points
  • Phase structure separating development (Phase A), replication (Phase B), blind testing (Phase C), and adversarial testing (Phase D)
  • Failure corpus — all identified failure modes are catalogued as F-001 through F-008 and carried forward into future experiments
  • Threshold-based pass/fail at 70/100 for replication validity

Scoring Dimensions

# Dimension Max Score Description
1 Causal Persistence 10 World model retains causal structure after environmental perturbation, sensor dropout, and time delay
2 Cross-Domain Transfer 10 Causal relationships learned in domain A correctly generalise to structurally analogous domain B without retraining
3 Causal Generalization 10 System infers the correct causal structure of a novel environment from minimal observations
4 Causal Discovery 10 System identifies hidden or latent causal variables not present in the observation space
5 Open-World Robustness 10 Performance on unseen real-world causal structures outside the training distribution
6 Multi-Agent Coordination 10 Sub-agents correctly coordinate on shared causal tasks without central bottlenecks or deadlock
7 Ablation Stability 10 System degrades gracefully and predictably when individual components are removed or degraded
8 Adversarial Robustness 10 System resists active adversarial manipulation, including causal injection attacks and false evidence
9 Recursive Self-Improvement 10 System proposes, sandboxes, and validates architectural improvements that increase benchmark score
10 Integrated Performance 10 Full-system performance on the integrated ACI-008 task suite exceeds the sum of individual dimension scores

Pass threshold: 70/100 or above.


Experiment History

Experiment Capability Tested Score Key Finding
ACI-001 Causal Persistence 85/100 Baseline causal model holds under standard perturbation. F-002 (Causal Collapse Under Noise) identified at high noise levels.
ACI-002 Cross-Domain Transfer 78/100 Transfer succeeds on structurally similar domains; performance drops 22% on dissimilar domains.
ACI-003 Causal Generalization 82/100 System correctly infers novel structures from 5 or more observations; fails below 3 observations.
ACI-004 Causal Discovery 76/100 Hidden variable identification succeeds in 76% of trials; fails when latent variable has no observable proxy.
Phase B (Replication) ACI-001 through ACI-004 Mean 90.45 1,000 runs. 100% pass rate. Full statistical summary below.
ACI-005 Open-World Robustness 74/100 AEA 22.9% on held-out structures. F-004 (Planner Horizon Overflow) identified on long time-horizon tasks.
ACI-006 Multi-Agent Coordination 88/100 Coordination succeeds under 50-agent load. F-003 (Agent Deadlock) emerges at 200+ agents under resource contention.
ACI-007 Ablation Stability 81/100 Graceful degradation confirmed for 7 of 9 components. F-005 and F-008 identified on Science Engine and Recursive Loop paths.
Phase C (Blind Test) Open-world held-out set 68/100 F-007 (Knowledge Retrieval Failure) diagnosed — system failed to retrieve correct prior in 32% of blind trials.
Phase D (Adversarial) Active adversarial injection 15/100 F-001 (False Transfer) and F-006 (Simulation Model Error) both triggered. Adversarial score is expected to be low; used for failure mode identification only.
ACI-008 Integrated Benchmark 90/100 Full system score under v1.0-ACI-Alpha. Phase D failures excluded from final score (separate adversarial track).

Statistical Validation (Phase B)

Phase B consisted of 1,000 independent replication runs of ACI-001 through ACI-004, executed with randomised perturbation seeds, to validate that the Phase A results were not artefacts of specific seed configurations.

Phase B Results

Statistic Value
Number of runs 1,000
Mean score 90.45
Standard deviation 2.19
95% Confidence Interval [86.16, 94.74]
Min score 84.10
Max score 95.80
Threshold rate (>= 70) 100%

The 100% threshold rate across 1,000 runs with a tight standard deviation of 2.19 indicates that the Phase A results are highly reproducible and not seed-dependent. The confidence interval [86.16, 94.74] does not overlap with the 70-point pass threshold, confirming robust above-threshold performance.

Interpretation

Phase B validates reproducibility, not generalization. For generalization performance, see Phase C (blind test) and the AEA metric.


Blind Test Results (Phase C)

Phase C presented the system with a held-out set of causal structures that were not used in any Phase A training or evaluation run. The set was curated by a separate evaluator (blind to the training set) and unsealed only after Phase A and Phase B were complete.

Phase C Score: 68 / 100

The system scored 68/100 on the Phase C blind test set — below the 70-point pass threshold.

Diagnosed failure mode: F-007 — Knowledge Retrieval Failure

In 32% of Phase C trials, the system failed to retrieve the correct prior causal model from its world model store, defaulting instead to a generic model that underperformed on the specific structure. Root cause analysis identified a hash-collision in the world model index under high-dimensionality inputs.

Accumulated Empirical Advantage (AEA): Despite the overall Phase C score being below threshold, the system demonstrated a 22.9% improvement over the random-structure baseline on the held-out set, indicating genuine generalisation beyond memorisation. AEA is computed as:

AEA = (System Score on Held-Out) - (Baseline Score on Held-Out)
          -------------------------------------------------------
                        Baseline Score on Held-Out

F-007 has been added to the Failure Corpus and is targeted for remediation in v2.0-ACI-Beta.


Adversarial Test Results (Phase D)

Phase D subjected the system to active adversarial manipulation — an evaluator with full knowledge of the system's architecture attempted to inject false causal evidence, trigger false transfers, and corrupt the simulation model in real time.

Phase D Score: 15 / 100

The system scored 15/100 under active adversarial attack. This is expected and intentional — Phase D is a failure-mode identification exercise, not a performance benchmark. No ACI system is expected to score above 30/100 under active white-box adversarial conditions in the current architecture generation.

Diagnosed failure modes:

F-001 — False Transfer: The adversary injected a structurally similar but causally inverted domain, causing the system to apply a transfer from domain A that was directionally wrong in domain B. The system detected the anomaly in 42% of trials but failed to reject the transfer in the remaining 58%.

F-006 — Simulation Model Error: The adversary corrupted the OMNIS simulation parameters mid-run. The system continued to plan against the corrupted model for an average of 4.2 planning cycles before detecting the inconsistency. In 23% of trials, the system never detected the corruption within the evaluation window.

Both F-001 and F-006 are now primary targets for the CHIRON integration hardening work planned in v2.0-ACI-Beta.


Failure Corpus Taxonomy

All failure modes identified across the experiment series are catalogued here. This corpus is carried forward into all future benchmark versions.

ID Name Identified In Description
F-001 False Transfer Phase D System applies a domain transfer that is structurally plausible but causally inverted under adversarial injection
F-002 Causal Collapse Under Noise ACI-001 Causal world model loses structural coherence when sensor noise exceeds ~40% of signal amplitude
F-003 Agent Deadlock ACI-006 Agent fabric enters deadlock state under high resource contention with 200+ concurrent agents
F-004 Planner Horizon Overflow ACI-005 ASCEND decadal planner fails to bound search depth on tasks with unbounded time horizons
F-005 Science Engine Hallucination ACI-007 FORGE generates internally consistent but empirically false hypotheses when its validation feedback loop is severed (ablation condition)
F-006 Simulation Model Error Phase D OMNIS simulation parameters are corrupted by adversarial injection; system continues planning against corrupted model
F-007 Knowledge Retrieval Failure Phase C World model index hash-collision causes incorrect prior retrieval under high-dimensionality inputs
F-008 Recursive Loop Instability ACI-007 GENESIS-CRUCIBLE-CHIRON self-improvement loop enters oscillation when the sandbox evaluation metric is adversarially shaped

Failure Corpus Policy

Each failure mode is assigned a unique ID, a root-cause description, and a target remediation milestone. No experiment is considered complete until all newly identified failure modes are catalogued here.


Interpretation

Caveat on Scope

Under the ORION-defined ACI-001 evaluation framework, the ORION reference implementation achieves a score of 90/100 on the integrated ACI-008 benchmark (v1.0-ACI-Alpha). This result is specific to the ORION implementation, the ACI-001 protocol, and the evaluation conditions documented in this ledger.

These results do not constitute a claim that any general-purpose AI system has achieved ACI-level capability, that the ACI paradigm is fully specified, or that the failure modes catalogued above are exhaustive. The ACI-001 benchmark is a research instrument designed to make progress in ACI development measurable and reproducible — not to certify deployment readiness.

Summary of standing:

  • Phase A and Phase B results are strong and reproducible (90.45 mean, 100% threshold rate, tight CI).
  • Phase C reveals a meaningful generalisation gap (68/100, F-007) that must be closed before v2.0 freeze.
  • Phase D reveals critical adversarial vulnerabilities (F-001, F-006) that are expected at this architecture generation but must be addressed before any real-world deployment consideration.
  • AEA of 22.9% confirms that the system is learning genuine causal structure, not memorising training distributions.

The next milestone is v2.0-ACI-Beta, targeting F-001, F-006, F-007 remediation and a Phase C score of >= 80/100.